Ian will likely remain a major hurricane, with sustained winds greater than 110 mph, while approaching Florida, with landfall expected near Tampa Bay early Thursday.  However, only a small westward jog in Ian’s track would lead to landfall occurring farther north along Florida’s Gulf Coast.  Regardless of precise track, substantial damage may occur across Florida’s peninsula due to storm surge, winds, and rain.  Storm surge could reach 5 to 10 feet in Tampa Bay and environs, leading to widespread inundation of low-lying areas. 

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